Several EM central banks have continued to tighten monetary policy over the past month or so in response to strong reopening rebounds (Chile, Czech Republic, Hungary) and/or rising inflation concerns (Brazil, Mexico, Peru, Russia). A few others, including Colombia, are likely to follow suit relatively soon. But one EM region that is bucking the monetary policy trend is Asia. Admittedly, the Bank of Korea may be gearing up to tighten policy soon too in response to building financial risks. But the surge in virus cases and low (or easing) inflation means that most central banks in the region are in no rush to tighten. In fact, we now expect further rate cuts in both Thailand and the Philippines over the coming months, while the Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to start normalising policy until well into next year.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services