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India Chart Pack (September 2024)

Our India Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments.

The economy is cooling but remains primed to grow by 6.0-6.5% per year between 2024 and 2026, which would put India on course to become the world’s third-largest economy in the next couple of years. Headline CPI inflation is likely to remain close to the RBI’s 4% target over the coming months, setting the stage for the RBI to begin loosening monetary policy from December. We think that the repo rate will fall to 5.50% (from 6.50% currently) in the upcoming easing cycle. Our forecast is a bit more dovish than the consensus expectation of 6.00%.

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