Our Emerging Europe Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments.
Inflation continued to fall sharply across Central and Eastern Europe at the end of 2023, but we think that the disinflation process is entering a more difficult phase in 2024 as demand is beginning to recover. While monetary easing cycles are likely to continue, we expect interest rates to remain above neutral levels over the next couple of years.
Meanwhile, Turkey’s shift towards orthodox macro policymaking is showing promising signs, and we think the economy will continue to rebalance over the coming year. In contrast, Russia’s economy is overheating, which will push inflation up over the first half of 2024.
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