While data out this week showed renewed struggles in South Africa’s mining sector, other figures suggest that a recovery has taken hold in Q4, which should accelerate next year with help from lower inflation and interest rates. Meanwhile, the naira’s unexpected appreciation against the dollar this month, was helped by more central bank FX reforms and $2bn of Eurobond sales. Still, we think high inflation will keep the naira on shaky footing in the near-term. And in Ghana, ex-President John Mahama won the presidential election last weekend decisively and will inherit an economy growing at its fastest rate since 2019.
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