The first round of the French election taking place this weekend could put further upward pressure on bond yields in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), particularly if concerns about the direction for fiscal policy in Europe more broadly rear their head. In this regard, it’s worth noting that fiscal health across CEE has deteriorated in the last few years. Meanwhile, inflation figures out of Turkey next week will likely mark the start of the disinflation process there. It appears as though policymakers will refrain from hiking the minimum wage next month which would be a positive sign in the battle to get inflation down to single digits.
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