Japan Chart Pack Japan Chart Pack (May 2024) Our Japan Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. While the economy has only narrowly avoided a recession, activity should rebound over coming... 20th May 2024 · 1 min read
Asia Rapid Response Thailand GDP (Q1, 2024) Thailand’s economy rebounded in Q1 and we expect steady, if unspectacular, growth this year driven by a further rebound in tourism and strong government spending. 20th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Russia GDP (Q1) and Consumer Prices (Apr.) The 5.4% y/y rise in Russian GDP in Q1 was a touch stronger than expected and, taken together with the rise in inflation in April, adds further evidence to the view that the war effort is causing the... 17th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Heading for a weaker second quarter The further evidence of softer activity this week might not be enough to persuade the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates in June, but they add to our sense that rate cuts are coming very soon. 17th May 2024 · 6 mins read
US Economics Weekly Inflation slowly easing; activity softens The Biden administration announced an increase in tariffs on hi-tech & green-related goods imports from China this week, but they will have little impact on economic activity or inflation. Otherwise... 17th May 2024 · 6 mins read
China Economics Weekly Property support, imbalances growing, tariff retaliation The property support measures outlined today are significant. If local governments and SOEs take advantage of the funding on offer to buy unsold inventory from developers, sales would rise by around... 17th May 2024 · 5 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly US-China tariffs raise stakes for EU This week’s decision by the US government to hike tariffs on Chinese EVs to 100% may have been largely political and symbolic but it raises the stakes for Europe, which will complete its own... 17th May 2024 · 8 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Weak activity won’t forestall BoJ tightening On the Bank of Japan's favoured measure, spare capacity has remained tight across the economy despite the recent weakness of GDP - which this week's data confirmed extended into Q1. That's another... 17th May 2024 · 7 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Malaysia GDP (Q1 2024, second estimate) The second estimate of Q1 GDP confirmed that the economy rebounded last quarter but we continue to expect below-trend GDP growth this year as a whole. The softening labour market, tighter fiscal... 17th May 2024 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China Activity & Spending (Apr. 2024) Industrial production continued to accelerate thanks to strong exports, but growth on most other indicators slowed, pointing to softer domestic demand. We expect a renewed pick-up over the coming... 17th May 2024 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response Industrial Production (Apr.) The 0.3% m/m decline in manufacturing output in April , together with the downward revision to the March gain, from 0.5% to 0.2%, continues the run of weaker activity data and will further solidify... 16th May 2024 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update How will Mexico’s election affect nearshoring prospects? The policies of the Mexican presidential frontrunner, Claudia Sheinbaum, would provide a more supportive environment for the nearshoring of manufacturing supply chains. But we doubt that she’ll carry... 16th May 2024 · 4 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Israel GDP (Q1 2024) The 14.1% q/q annualised rebound in Israeli GDP in Q1 was slightly weaker than expected and left GDP almost 3% below its pre-war level. The latest indicators suggest that activity is likely to recover... 16th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Event LatAm Drop-In: Mexico’s next president – Economic risk and opportunity 1717423200 The winner of Mexico’s presidential election on 2nd June will have a busy in-tray, from taking advantage of the opportunities presented by near-shoring to the challenges posed
Japan Rapid Response Japan GDP (Q1 2024) The renewed drop in GDP in the first quarter mostly reflects production shutdowns at major carmakers and a pronounced rebound this quarter is very likely. And with services spending rebounding, the... 16th May 2024 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart Pack (May 2024) Our Global Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The latest data suggest that activity in Europe picked up at the start of this year, and... 15th May 2024 · 0 mins read
