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Assessing public debt risks in Africa

In this Update, we roll out our sovereign debt heat map that provides a snapshot of debt risks across Sub-Saharan Africa. The pandemic has increased debt burdens across the continent and, with elections on the horizon in many places, governments are unlikely to push through the austerity needed to stabilise debt. While the rise in commodity prices caused by the war in Ukraine is a positive for some (e.g. Angola), tighter external financing conditions pose significant risks for others (e.g. Ghana). Long Run Outlook Drop-In (23 March, 11:00 EDT/15:00 GMT): What will be the lasting impacts of the war in Ukraine? What legacies will the pandemic leave? What does a future of higher inflation mean for economies and markets? Neil Shearing hosts this special discussion with senior economists about the long-term investing outlook on Wednesday. Register here.

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