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Doubting the BoE’s hawkish tilt

It may seem odd that we’re still forecasting interest rates to fall from 5.00% now to 4.50% this year and to 3.00% next year when the Bank of England said this week that it doesn't expect to cut rates too much or too quickly. But what happens to inflation is more important than what the Bank says. And we still think inflation will be lower than the Bank expects over the next 18 months.

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