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Egypt-IMF, Tunisia unorthodox policies, Blinken in Riyadh

The economic hit from Egypt’s reforms is prompting officials to reevaluate the timeline for future policy moves under the IMF deal. But given the rise in capital flows from elsewhere, Egypt is better placed to withstand any delays to IMF financing. Elsewhere, the Tunisian government’s efforts to end the central bank’s independence reinforce our concerns that the country is heading towards a messy dinar devaluation and sovereign default. Finally, Saudi’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman met with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken this week instead of attending the BRICS+ summit in a sign that the Kingdom is seeking a balancing role between the US and China.

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