US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Dec. 2024) The large rebound in housing starts and continued resilience of building permits in December provides some support to our forecast that starts will remain solid in the first half of the year. However... 17th January 2025 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Housing Watch (Jan. 2025) The rise in house prices in December builds on November’s gain, providing some support to our view that house prices will rise by a healthy 4% this year. That said, with the sales-to-new listing ratio... 16th January 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update RICS Residential Market Survey (Dec. 2024) December’s RICS survey suggests that the relief rally after the Budget may have started to fade at the end of last year and the recent rise in mortgage rates have finally began to weigh on housing... 16th January 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (Jan. 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The Antipodean central banks will tread different paths on policy over the forecast horizon. With the... 16th January 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Drop in foreign students a small risk for PBSA rents At first glance the 24% y/y drop in sponsored study visas in Q3 2024 spells bad news for PBSA rents. But the cause of that drop - new rules banning international students from bringing dependents -... 14th January 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Fires in LA highlight rising climate-related risk to CRE While commercial real estate insurance premiums remain elevated, their growth dropped back substantially last year. But as the West and Gulf coasts still face the greatest threat from climate risks... 13th January 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook Sales slump to drag into 2025 The potentially inflationary policy mix of the incoming Trump administration will limit the decline in mortgage rates this year, squashing hopes for a major recovery in home sales. We expect... 8th January 2025 · 14 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Dec. 2024) The small decline in purchase mortgage applications in December is worse than it looks, as it masks a collapse in demand in the final few weeks of the month, driven by mortgage rates climbing above 7%... 8th January 2025 · 2 mins read
Canada Chart Pack Canada Chart Pack (Jan. 2025) There are increasing signs that interest rate cuts are feeding through to the real economy. Household consumption grew strongly in the third quarter and activity in the housing market has picked up... 7th January 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/ CIPS Construction PMI (Dec. 24) The headline CIPS construction PMI eased to a six-month low of 53.3 in December, from 55.2 in November, although that indicates construction activity is still expanding. The decline in the headline... 7th January 2025 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Halifax House Prices (Dec. 2024) The small fall in the Halifax house price index in December is at odds with the chunky rise in the Nationwide measure and suggests that recent rises in mortgage rates started to weigh on the housing... 7th January 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Nov. 2024) November’s money and lending data suggests that households’ caution with their borrowing and saving ahead of the Budget hasn’t gone away. As a result, today’s release adds further downside risk to our... 3rd January 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Nationwide House Prices (Dec. 2024) December’s better-than-expected 0.7% m/m increase in Nationwide house prices means that prices continued to gather momentum at the end of last year despite the rise in mortgage rates, rising by a... 2nd January 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australian house price growth to remain weak in 2025 There was little festive cheer in Australia’s housing market last month, with house prices stagnating across the country’s eight capital cities. Given our view that the RBA has only limited room to... 2nd January 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Apartment Metros Outlook Atlanta, Dallas, Houston and Phoenix to lead the way Our apartment metro forecasts continue to show significant variation between metros, even within regions. For example, while we expect continued strong demand growth in the South – especially in... 23rd December 2024 · 7 mins read
