Residential has been the Netherlands’ strongest performing commercial property sector since the GFC, with bumper rent growth a key contributor to that outperformance. Looking ahead, slower wage growth and inflation will bring an end to the recent boom in rents, but a lack of rental supply will continue to support rent levels and help gains to outpace growth elsewhere in Europe. At the same time, we think that yields can compress a bit further, with scope for declines largest in Amsterdam. This should help the Dutch market to outperform residential markets in Germany and France in the coming years.
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