Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments.
Currencies across Latin American have held up relatively well in the wake of the US election, but we think that they will come under pressure as the dollar strengthens on the back of Trump’s policy proposals. The Mexican peso looks particularly vulnerable to sharp falls given Mexico's close trade ties with the US. For now, we expect central banks to continue their easing cycles, but the risks are skewed towards policymakers delivering less easing than we’re currently expecting. Meanwhile, with their respective governments showing no clear willingness to tighten their belts, fiscal risks in Brazil and Colombia are likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future.
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