US Commercial Property Update Four likely winners in retail The retail sector appears to be turning a corner, and we think that convenience-oriented Neighbourhood and Community (N&C) centres, out-of-town retail, “destination”-type malls and retail located in... 8th October 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Will remote working migrants drive office demand? In-migration to southern metros with relatively low living costs and high desirability will be positive for office demand in those same metros. We think firms will be encouraged to set up offices in... 4th October 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Limited risks to DM property from Evergrande The Evergrande crisis has made waves in financial markets this week. But, while the developed property markets we cover may see some short-term upheaval, we think the impacts outside of China are... 23rd September 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Three reasons why Chicago will emerge a winner Chicago’s office market will not escape the gloomy outlook caused by the shift to remote working. But we expect the low level of rents, the small share of jobs in the information sector, and a... 17th September 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are we underestimating the global property upturn? The most recent commercial property data have been surprisingly upbeat and have raised the possibility that the recovery could be stronger than expected. But we think investors may have run ahead of... 16th September 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update New apartments will start to get larger soon Apartments kept getting smaller in the second quarter of this year, with the median floor space of units falling to under 1,000 sq. ft., the lowest since records began in 1999. That trend seems at... 14th September 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update New supply won’t have major impact on industrial rental growth Despite a higher construction pipeline for distribution warehouses, we think that a high share of pre-let space, coupled with strong demand, means vacancy will only be 20bps higher over the next few... 27th August 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing End of eviction ban won’t stop recovery in rents The eviction ban has been extended to early October, but we doubt it will be renewed again. Given the strength of the labour market, significant government support and robust rental demand, the... 19th August 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update Increase in build-for-rent won’t derail SF rent growth Surging demand for single-family homes has revived institutional investor interest in the single-family rental (SFR) market. With few homes available to buy, interest in build-for-rent (BFR)... 3rd August 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Why we expect a gradual recovery in lending The recent gains in lender sentiment showed the real estate recovery is heading in the right direction. As lenders gain confidence, standards should start to loosen, and industrial and multifamily... 26th July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property When will office vacancy peak in San Francisco? Our forecasts, which cover landlord-held space, point to San Francisco vacancy peaking in 2025 at over 24%. Broker data, which also incorporates sublease vacancy, suggests much of that adjustment has... 21st July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Lower Treasury yield forecasts support property pricing We have pulled back our expectations for Treasury yield rises this year and, to a lesser extent, next year. At the margin, this is positive for real estate pricing as it means that the property to... 16th July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update Bounce in high-rise demand to give way to gardens There is mounting evidence that the exodus from cities is winding down. As economies reopen, we think that cities will come back to life, bringing a wave of new demand for high-rise apartments. But... 9th July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Life science hubs set for a period of outperformance The pandemic has accelerated growth in scientific research and development, prompting a boost to demand in key R&D clusters. While we don’t expect the current rates of growth to be sustained, we think... 8th July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Student accommodation not set to see a rapid rebound The student accommodation sector faces high levels of uncertainty for the fall 2021 academic year. In our view, demand for student housing will rebound from last year, but fall short of its pre... 25th June 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Offices set for a prolonged performance divide The pandemic has heightened occupiers’ focus on the quality and green credentials of the space they occupy. This trend is set to impact on demand, with modern, well-configured buildings with green... 23rd June 2021 · 3 mins read
