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The policy response to a no deal Brexit

As demand and supply would both drop after a no deal Brexit, it’s not obvious how policy should respond. But our view that the drop in demand would last longer than any fall in supply suggests the focus should be on stimulating demand. And even in the moment when it’s not clear what’s happened, it makes sense for policymakers to err on the side of caution by loosening policy rather than tightening it.

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