Japan Economics Weekly BoJ tested, GDP rebounding The outlines of the Bank of Japan’s new policy framework have become clearer during the week: a more flexible approach to intervention, a focus on preventing sharp moves, but also a tolerance of... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly MPC presses ahead, economy makes a decent start to Q3 After the recent run of upbeat economic news the Monetary Policy Committee’s decision to raise rates this week came as little surprise. And the hawkish tone of the Minutes and Inflation Report lent... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Markit/CIPS Services PMI (Jul.) Despite falling in July, the Markit/CIPS services survey suggests that the economy made a reasonable start to Q3, sustaining the pace of growth reached in Q2 of about 0.4% q/q. 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Weekly Africa: Rate cuts continue, land reform fears overdone While policymakers in other EMs are hiking rates, we think that African central banks will follow Kenya's recent example and continue to ease policy over the next 18 months. Fears surrounding the... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Lat Am equities won’t defy gravity for much longer Equities in China and other parts of Emerging Asia have slumped since mid-June. But unusually, those in Latin America have surged at the same time. There are already signs that the rally in Latin... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss CPI (Jul.) July’s rise in Swiss inflation was driven by faster energy and food inflation, while underlying price pressures remained very weak. And with the franc set to remain strong by historical standards, we... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update No Turkish delight for Istanbul office rents With Turkey’s economy heading for a sharp slowdown, further weakness in the lira and high availability of office space, the decline in prime office rents in Istanbul has further to run. 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Philippines central bank to turn more aggressive? Rising inflationary pressures mean that the central bank of the Philippines (BSP) is almost certain to raise interest rates at its meeting on Thursday, the only question is by how much. 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Turkey CPI (Jul.) The rise in Turkish inflation to a 15-year high of 15.8% y/y last month, coming alongside further lira weakness following the imposition of US sanctions, strengthens the case for interest rate hikes... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Lending, house prices and retail sales With the housing market slowdown in danger of morphing into the deepest and longest in Australia’s modern history, we doubt that the recent resilience of household spending will last. The risk is that... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Sri Lanka: rate cut still likely before the end of the year Given the recent rebound in inflation, it was no surprise that the central bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) decided to leave policy on hold today. But with growth continuing to disappoint and inflation likely... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response Retail Sales (Jun./Q2) Households appear to be coping well with the hit to their real spending power from rising petrol prices and the hit to their net wealth from falling house prices. But with house prices starting to... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
India Economics Weekly Fiscal binge, RBI credibility Data released this week show a rapid expansion of the central government’s deficit in the early part of this fiscal year. This is a common occurrence, as revenues tend to get ramped up in the latter... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Monetary policy to support sterling despite post-rate-hike dip 2nd August 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Q2 & H1 2018 World Gold Council Demand Trends Global gold demand declined to the lowest level since 2009 in the first half of 2018 and we expect it to remain softover the coming months as a strong dollar, coupled with rising US interest rates... 2nd August 2018 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Rising rates will keep housing in the doldrums The vast majority of existing mortgage borrowers should be well placed to deal with the latest rise in Bank Rate. But a rising cost of borrowing will further constrain demand from new buyers, ensuring... 2nd August 2018 · 1 min read
