Commodities Weekly Trade talks remain the key to investor sentiment There were few big moves in commodity prices this week despite some encouraging data out of China and the US, and a 25bp cut in the Fed Funds rate. Admittedly, the economic data were not uniformly... 1st November 2019 · 7 mins read
Metals Outlook Metals to muddle through in 2020 We have revised up our end-2020 forecast for the prices of gold and silver to reflect the fact that we now expect roughly as much monetary easing by the Fed as the market. Meanwhile, we have trimmed... 1st November 2019 · 17 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack October’s optimism set to fade The apparent thaw in the US-China trade dispute gave a lift to the prices of most industrial commodities in October. However, we are sceptical that a lasting resolution to the trade conflict will be... 31st October 2019 · 7 mins read
Commodities Weekly All eyes on the Fed This week has been relatively quiet in commodity markets, but there could be some bigger moves in prices in the next seven days given that the Fed meets on Thursday and a raft of economic data is... 25th October 2019 · 7 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Sep.) Temporary shutdowns in China and Japan caused annual growth in global steel production growth to contract in September. We expect production to bounce back a little as these temporary factors fade... 25th October 2019 · 2 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude stocks fell last week on the back of strong demand for both distillates and gasoline. But with stocks still comfortably above the five-year average, and the US economy set to slow further... 23rd October 2019 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Demand fears taking the reins once again Despite the much-vaunted “mini-deal” on US-China trade, most industrial commodity prices fell this week. Uninspiring activity data across major commodity consumers, notably for the US and China... 18th October 2019 · 7 mins read
Commodities Outlook Turning a corner in 2020 While there appears to be little to lift spirits in the near term, we think the macro-economic backdrop for commodity markets will turn more positive during 2020. We expect global economic growth to... 18th October 2019 · 25 mins read
Commodities Weekly Trade talk optimism could prove misguided With little in the way of major economic data releases this week, most commodity prices rose on the back of news that the US and China may agree a “mini deal” as part of ongoing trade talks. This... 11th October 2019 · 7 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Low stocks sowing the seeds for price rebound On the whole, dwindling exchange stocks have had a muted impact on prices this year as global growth has slowed. But as inventories creep towards critical lows, this sets the scene for a sustained... 11th October 2019 · 3 mins read
Industrial Metals Update More to dwindling aluminium output than low prices At first glance, weak global aluminium output so far this year can be chalked up to the slump in prices. However, lower Chinese production growth has more to do with government-led crackdowns on... 9th October 2019 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Growth concerns to the fore Most industrial commodity prices fell this week as concerns about global economic growth intensified. A raft of weak economic data from the US and the euro-zone seems to suggest that the recent... 4th October 2019 · 7 mins read
Metals Chart Pack Melancholy to persist this year After some fleeting optimism on the back of an apparent easing in US-China trade tensions in September, the recent run of weak US survey data saw demand concerns return to the fore. We think that... 3rd October 2019 · 7 mins read
Metals Focus Zeroing in on copper demand With question marks hanging over the outlook for global economic growth, it has become increasingly difficult to get a handle on the true state of physical copper demand. Therefore, we have turned to... 2nd October 2019 · 12 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Still too soon to turn positive Oil prices dipped in September despite the attacks on Saudi Aramco. In contrast, the prices of most other commodities increased owing to a rise in investor risk appetite. However, we expect US... 1st October 2019 · 7 mins read
Commodities Weekly Little on the horizon to lift investor sentiment As the fall-out from the attacks on Aramco began to fade, the spotlight swung firmly back to concerns about global economic activity this week with falls in the prices of most industrial commodities... 27th September 2019 · 7 mins read
