India Rapid Response

Reserve Bank of India Policy Announcement (Dec.)

6th December 2024 · 2 mins read

Japan Rapid Response

Japan Labour Cash Earnings (October 24)

Base pay rose the most since 1992 in October and we think it will continue to hold strong through to the end of next year

5th December 2024 · 2 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

Syria latest, Saudi-US security pact, Tunisia central bank

The advance by Syrian rebels, which has taken President Assad’s forces by surprise, is unlikely to have significant macro implications, but it has shone the light on how geopolitical alliances in the...

5th December 2024 · 8 mins read

Capital Daily

Chinese equities may continue to lag those in the US

Despite their low absolute and relative valuations, we think China’s equities will continue to lag their US counterparts over the coming year.

5th December 2024 · 4 mins read

Asia Economics Update

Five questions (and answers) on Korea’s political crisis

President Yoon Suk Yoel has rescinded his declaration of martial law, but Korea’s political crisis is far from over. The opposition are now trying to impeach the president, while financial markets...

4th December 2024 · 3 mins read

Capital Daily

Market implications of the drama in Korea

This early edition of the Capital Daily outlines our initial thoughts on the market implications of the political drama in Korea.

4th December 2024 · 4 mins read

Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response

Australia GDP (Q3 2024)

GDP growth remained sluggish in the third quarter, adding to the case for the RBA to start easing policy before long.

4th December 2024 · 2 mins read

Asia Economics Update

Korea’s president declares martial law

The declaration of martial law by Korea’s president is an extraordinary step that seems likely to trigger either the suspension of Constitutional democracy in Korea or the president’s own rapid...

3rd December 2024 · 4 mins read

Japan Economic Outlook

Bank of Japan will hike rates to 1.25% by end-2026

We now expect inflation excluding fresh food and energy to remain above the Bank of Japan’s target for most of next year as the yen remains weak for longer and the upcoming spring wage negotiations...

3rd December 2024 · 18 mins read

Emerging Markets Economics Update

A weak end to 2024 for EM manufacturing

The pick up in the aggregate EM manufacturing PMI in November was largely driven by China. Elsewhere, manufacturing activity looks as though it will remain relatively soft into next year. The surveys...

2nd December 2024 · 3 mins read

Global Markets Update

New forecasts for Japan’s financial markets

We now think the 10-year JGB yield will rise further, the yen will make more ground against the US dollar, and Japan’s equities will struggle to make much headway (in yen terms).

2nd December 2024 · 3 mins read

Asia Economics Update

Asia Manufacturing PMIs, Korea Trade (November)

The November PMIs for Asia remained weak and are consistent with our expectation for manufacturing activity in the region to remain subdued in the near term. The data also showed a modest pick-up in...

2nd December 2024 · 2 mins read

China Rapid Response

China PMIs (Nov. 2024)

While the Caixin services PMI fell a touch, the composite PMI rose which is consistent with our expectation for an acceleration in q/q GDP growth this quarter. Increased fiscal spending and the front...

2nd December 2024 · 3 mins read

Asia Economics Weekly

Korea’s interest rate cut, falling inflation in Singapore

The Bank of Korea surprised most analysts (although not us) when it cut interest rates at its scheduled meeting yesterday. The weakness of today’s activity data makes us more confident in our view...

29th November 2024 · 5 mins read

China Chart Pack

China Chart Pack (Nov. 24)

The economy has already regained some momentum on the back of increased policy support. But this tailwind is unlikely to be sustained beyond a couple of quarters. And US tariffs will soon hurt China’s...

29th November 2024 · 0 mins read