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Brazil IPCA-15 (August 2023)

The jump in Brazilian inflation to a higher-than-expected 4.2% y/y in the middle of the month (and the prospect of further increases over the rest of Q3) are likely to dash hopes that the central bank will step up the pace of its easing cycle at the next few meetings. We think it will continue to cut the Selic rate in 50bp steps.

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