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The Mexican “super peso” looks poised for a sharp fall

The Mexican peso’s relentless rise against the US dollar and most other major currencies is increasingly at odds with macroeconomic fundamentals. We think the peso is vulnerable to an abrupt fall over the coming months if, as we expect, risk sentiment deteriorates as a US recession hits.

In view of the broader interest, we are also sending this FX Markets Update to clients of our Latin America Economics service.

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