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SNB’s last cut in the cycle

We expect the SNB to cut its policy rate by 25bp next week to take it to 0.25% in response to the very low inflation rate early this year. But we think that will be the last cut of the cycle, as underlying price pressures have not been as weak as we anticipated, the franc has depreciated over the last couple of months, and the recent fiscal announcements by the EU and Germany will boost demand in the region.

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