US Commercial Property Update Retail subsectors to see more consistent performance Physical retail demand has not only been shaped by online shopping, but also by shifting working patterns which have redistributed where we spend our money since COVID-19. Nevertheless, we expect a... 26th March 2025 · 6 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Remote work is here to stay in UK, US and EU Despite numerous reports of firms rowing back on remote work, the evidence in the UK, US and the EU suggests that the share of jobs being done remotely has remained constant over the past couple of... 20th March 2025 · 5 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Physical UK retail property now better able to compete with online The sharp drop in retail rents seen during the pandemic coincided with a surge in rents for distribution warehouses and, as a result, the difference between the two is at a record low. That will help... 10th March 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF UK Commercial Property Consensus Forecasts (Mar. 25.) The latest IPF Consensus Survey was broadly unchanged from the previous forecast round. Total returns at the all-property level are forecast to be 8.0% p.a. over 2025-29, with views ranging from a... 7th March 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update The biggest cities will continue to underperform Five years ago, we were downbeat about the immediate prospects for the largest city real estate markets, the so-called gateways, and that view has proved correct. But we also argued that this malaise... 5th March 2025 · 5 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Are UK and US households still keen to pay more for living space? The ‘race for space’ following the pandemic and shift to remote work is evident in both the UK and US, with houses becoming more expensive relative to flats. And that premium for larger homes looks... 4th March 2025 · 5 mins read
Global Economics Update Is the US bloc splintering? The events of the past two weeks have called into question whether the US is severing ties not just with adversaries such as China but also allies, including Canada, Mexico and the European Union... 4th March 2025 · 6 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Industrial’s pandemic-era boom over; steady demand ahead Industrial property has been a clear winner over the past five years, with double-digit annual rental growth far outpacing expectations. However, as we predicted early on, supply has been responsive... 25th February 2025 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update How much longer can global hotels outperform? Hotels have seen a considerable turnaround in the past five years given the near-existential threat that the pandemic posed to the sector. Having bottomed last year, we expect values will grow in the... 20th February 2025 · 7 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Retail is back, but online will remain a drag into the 2030s Five years ago, the retail sector was staring at the abyss, as lockdowns and virus-related restrictions worsened what was already a crisis in demand. The turnaround since has been dramatic. But while... 12th February 2025 · 5 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Will new London office supply run dry from 2027? The Central London office pipeline looks set to go from feast to famine over the next few years, with a sharp drop in planned completions from 2027. But we doubt new office supply will run dry... 10th February 2025 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Risk of CRE debt distress greater in the EZ than the UK A stabilisation in capital values and decline in interest rates have sparked optimism that we may be past the worst of the real estate debt refinancing challenge. That indeed looks to be the case in... 6th February 2025 · 7 mins read
US Commercial Property Update COVID five years on: How the pandemic continues to shape real estate markets Five years on from the start of the pandemic and the structural shifts it brought about continue to underpin real estate performance. Over the coming weeks, we will publish a series of pieces that... 5th February 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RICS survey supports our call of a modest UK commercial property recovery Concerns about the impact of the Budget, coupled with higher interest rates, led to a moderation in commercial property demand according to the Q4 RICS commercial survey. Capital value expectations... 30th January 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK industrial investment to remain subdued The latest investment figures suggest an upturn in industrial activity after a long slump. But given both stretched valuations and continued economic uncertainty, it may be too early to rule out a... 29th January 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Global real estate can shake off latest bond yield rises Renewed rises in market interest rates across the UK, US and euro-zone have prompted questions about the implications for real estate. For now, we think the upside risk to property yields is small. We... 23rd January 2025 · 8 mins read
