At the heart of most of last week’s wealth of Brexit-related publications and comments was the issue of what will happen to trade if the UK votes to leave. As with pretty much all aspects of the Brexit debate, it is wise to take both sides’ claims with a pinch of salt.
The precise gain or loss for UK exporters would depend on the exact terms of exit from the EU, as well as other “unknowns”, including the future growth rate of the EU and the ease with which the UK could negotiate new trade deals. But in our view, the big picture is that leaving the EU would not significantly harm the UK’s external sector
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services