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Turkish rates, Ukraine elections, Czech tightening cycle

Turkish financial markets took Thursday’s larger-than-expected interest rate cut in their stride but we don’t think that this resilience will last. Investors seems to be coming round to our view that the central bank will ultimately have to reverse course. Elsewhere, we think that the post-election rally in Ukraine’s financial markets will fade. And comments this week from policymakers at the Czech National Bank support our view that the next move in interest rates will be down.

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