US Commercial Property Update D.C. service sector supports out-performance In our recent Office and Apartment Outlooks, we identified Washington D.C. as the top performer over a five-year forecast in both sectors. Those expectations are driven by several factors influencing... 20th April 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Is there still a bright future for Sunbelt apartments? The easing of virus restrictions and return to offices for many white-collar workers will mean that apartment markets in cities such as NYC and Washington D.C. will outperform this year. But we think... 15th April 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update What does 2021 have in store for investment volumes? Property investment volumes held up better than we anticipated in 2020, and we are expecting 2021 to be a solid year for investment. We think that pent-up demand and the reopening of the economy will... 14th April 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Mar.) Commercial real estate debt fell for the second consecutive month in March. That likely reflects weak investment activity due to virus restrictions. But, as constraints continue to ease and investment... 9th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Global Markets Update We expect bond yield divergence to favour the USD We expect higher government bond yields in the US than in other developed markets (DMs) to push the US dollar up, as has generally been the case since the Global Financial Crisis. 9th April 2021 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response US Metro Employment (Feb.) Employment growth in the three-months to February was heavily influenced by the rate of virus cases and consequent restrictions in place. And office-based jobs growth is still strongest in mid-sized... 7th April 2021 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook NYC and D.C. to benefit from COVID bounce-back All major city apartment markets will benefit from the reopening of the economy and reduction in remote work, with rental demand also supported by record low numbers of homes for sale. New York City... 1st April 2021 · 8 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Major Office Markets Outlook (Q1 2021) There are forecast downgrades across the board this quarter, owing to the changes to our occupier demand expectations at the sector level. The markets broadly split into three pairs. New York City and... 31st March 2021 · 16 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Faster bond yield rises will limit prospects for capital values The vaccine rollout and stimulus bill are unquestionably positive for the economy but may be a mixed blessing for real estate. Those two factors are probably most positive for the apartment sector... 25th March 2021 · 24 mins read
Asset Allocation Update US stock market unlikely to keep beating its economy While the stock market fared much better than the economy in the US overall during the past ten years, we do not expect that to remain the case. 17th March 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Chicago to be among the office market “winners” Our analysis suggests that both higher asking rents and a greater proportion of information jobs have been associated with a larger rise in sublease vacancy in recent quarters. We think there are good... 17th March 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Feb.) After a stronger than expected increase in January, commercial real estate debt fell back in February. This suggests that last month’s gain was a one-off and not the start of a rapid acceleration... 12th March 2021 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Major downgrade to office occupancy forecasts On the back of deeply negative office absorption last year and the continued flow of announcements from firms cutting their office space, we have made major revisions to our demand forecasts across... 10th March 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Reopening less of a positive for Boston apartments Greater availability, lower prices and proximity to NYC have supported demand for Boston apartments during the pandemic. That implies demand may edge back as the country reopens, and some workers... 5th March 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Property valuations look solid despite rising bond yields A few weeks ago, we nudged up our Treasury yield forecasts for year-end 2021 and 2022, to 1.5% and 1.75% respectively. While intra-day yields exceeded 1.6% at one point last week, we don’t expect a... 4th March 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Rising Treasury yields squeezing property valuations On the back of rising Treasury yields, property valuations took their first hit in eight quarters during Q4. And, with Treasury yields climbing higher since, it is likely that valuation scores will... 26th February 2021 · 6 mins read
