Skip to main content

US Employment Report (Feb. 2025)

The modest 151,000 rise in non-farm payrolls in February and 0.1%-point rise in the unemployment rate to 4.1% confirms the economy started the year soft but is not plummeting towards a recession. Some of those fears may resurface in the March Employment Report, when recent federal government layoffs will be a much larger drag on employment than they were last month. But with private-sector hiring still running at a fairly healthy three-month average pace of 169,000, the labour market can probably handle it.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.