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Can US credit spreads really stay this low?

US corporate credit spreads have all but unwound the rise they saw during the recent market turbulence, and are back at very low levels by past standards. We expect them to remain compressed over the next year or so, as long as the US economy continues to skirt a recession – which we think it will. In fact, we think a very positive environment for “risky” assets more broadly will help keep credit spreads tight.

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