Consumer Prices (Aug.)

Inflation rose by more than expected last month but, with the gain mainly due to the ongoing supply disruptions, the Bank of Canada will remain comfortable with its view that elevated inflation is transitory.
Stephen Brown Senior Canada Economist
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Canada Economics Weekly

Post-election negotiations could lead to looser policy

Whether the Liberals or Conservatives triumph on Monday, it seems likely that they will hold fewer seats than the current minority Liberal government. With the balance of power shifting toward the smaller parties, this could result in even looser fiscal policy than either the Liberals or Conservatives envisage.

17 September 2021

Canada Economics Update

Inflation to remain near 4% for next six months

Recent developments have prompted us to revise up our inflation forecasts for the coming few quarters, although we still expect inflation to decline to less than 2% in the second half of next year.

16 September 2021

Canada Data Response

Manufacturing Sales (Jul.)

Manufacturing sales fell in July and the renewed closures of auto plants across the continent, and the recent falls in some commodity prices, mean they are unlikely to recover strongly any time soon.

14 September 2021

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Canada Data Response

Manufacturing Sales (Jul.)

Manufacturing sales fell in July and the renewed closures of auto plants across the continent, and the recent falls in some commodity prices, mean they are unlikely to recover strongly any time soon.

14 September 2021

Canada Economics Weekly

Policymakers in focus

The speech by Governor Tiff Macklem this week suggests that, when the Bank of Canada next tapers its asset purchases, it may do so by less than is commonly assumed.

10 September 2021

Canada Data Response

Labour Force Survey (Aug.)

The easing of coronavirus restrictions helped drive a 90,000 increase in employment in August, but the unchanged level of hours worked is further evidence that third-quarter GDP growth is likely to be weaker than we originally assumed. CE Spotlight 2021: The Rebirth Of Inflation? We’re holding a week of online events from 27th September to accompany our special research series. Event details and registration here.

10 September 2021
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