Global Economics Chart Pack Another first-quarter blip The weakness in advanced economies early this year, which was largely driven by softer household spending, looks like a temporary setback rather than anything more ominous. Admittedly, economic growth... 4th May 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global growth may have peaked in Q1 The weakness of some recent economic data and business surveys has raised concerns that the global expansion is running out of steam. But we estimate that world GDP growth picked up a bit in the first... 6th April 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Trade spat not (yet) a big deal for global growth President Trump’s plan to raise tariffs on US imports of steel and aluminium does not pose an immediate threat to the world economy. Together they account for only a small share of world trade, and we... 5th March 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Is the equity slump a sign of things to come? Falling global bond and equity prices in the past few days reflect upward revisions to expectations for inflation and US interest rates, rather than any concern that global growth is faltering. In the... 5th February 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack World economy entering 2018 on a firm footing Global activity indicators suggest that the world economy ended 2017 on a very strong note. We expect this strength to continue in the near term, helped by a steady rise in employment and supportive... 5th January 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Shifting up another gear? The world economy has continued to experience fairly rapid growth. Manufacturing output and global trade have picked up, and the latest business surveys and measures of consumer confidence have... 6th December 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Full steam ahead in Q4 We estimate that the world economy expanded at a healthy pace of around 3½% annualised in Q3, as the US, euro-zone and UK all grew at a decent pace. Employment has been rising steadily, with jobs... 7th November 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Motoring along There is no sign that the synchronised upturn in the world economy is running out of steam. The two hurricanes which hit the US in the past couple of months should have only a short-lived impact on... 4th October 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack World economy resilient despite geopolitical tensions The recent escalation of tensions between the US and North Korea has caused the Vix “fear gauge” to reach its highest level this year, but it remains a long way below the levels it reached during many... 6th September 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Strong growth continues at start of Q3… Business surveys suggest that, after picking up in the second quarter, the world economy started Q3 on a strong footing. The upturn in Q2 was concentrated in advanced economies and was led by... 3rd August 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Low-inflation recovery continues Advanced economies grew fairly rapidly in the second quarter, with GDP growth likely to have rebounded strongly in the US, Japan and the UK and to have accelerated a little in the euro-zone. This in... 6th July 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Strong growth, weak inflation Global economic growth is likely to pick up a bit in the second quarter, led by household consumption, which is being boosted by an upturn in consumer confidence. The recovery continues to be broad... 5th June 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Weak Q1 global growth just a blip Global economic growth slowed in the first quarter, but we expect it to rebound in the second. The US economy looks set to regain momentum as consumption seems almost certain to pick up. Meanwhile... 4th May 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Firing on all cylinders… The world economy has entered the second quarter in good shape. Business surveys edged higher in March and point to strong global growth in Q1. Consumer confidence in advanced economies has risen to a... 5th April 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Signs of strong global growth continue Business and consumer surveys suggest that the strong start to the year continued in February. The global composite PMI remained close to a three-year high and is consistent with world GDP growth of... 6th March 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global growth picking up Business surveys point to a pick-up in activity at the beginning of the year, particularly in advanced economies. Indeed, the US economy and labour markets are approaching full capacity even though... 3rd February 2017 · 1 min read
