Global Economics Chart Pack Slowdown ahead Global economic growth has held up quite well in recent months despite the sell-off in equity markets, but we expect it to slow over the next two years. The US economy is likely to cool as monetary... 6th November 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Third-quarter slowdown a sign of things to come The world economy seems to have lost some momentum in the past few months and we expect it to slow further in the coming year. World trade growth has fallen sharply, though this is due to weakening... 4th October 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Economy holding up despite EM problems Despite the steady flow of negative news about protectionism and crises in emerging economies, global growth is holding up well in Q3. Moreover, the labour market has continued to strengthen... 7th September 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Strong growth unlikely to last The world economy has rebounded after a sluggish first quarter, with global growth rising to around 4% annualised in Q2. But we doubt that this will last long because it has largely resulted from a... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global growth rebounds despite “trade war” fears With the US and China poised to impose tariffs on each other in the coming days trade tensions look set to ratchet up further. But the world economy is still doing well. We estimate that global... 5th July 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack World economy resilient to renewed trade tensions The risk of a global trade war has risen in the past few weeks. President Trump has gone ahead with plans to levy tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, which is likely to provoke retaliation. In... 5th June 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Another first-quarter blip The weakness in advanced economies early this year, which was largely driven by softer household spending, looks like a temporary setback rather than anything more ominous. Admittedly, economic growth... 4th May 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global growth may have peaked in Q1 The weakness of some recent economic data and business surveys has raised concerns that the global expansion is running out of steam. But we estimate that world GDP growth picked up a bit in the first... 6th April 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Trade spat not (yet) a big deal for global growth President Trump’s plan to raise tariffs on US imports of steel and aluminium does not pose an immediate threat to the world economy. Together they account for only a small share of world trade, and we... 5th March 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Is the equity slump a sign of things to come? Falling global bond and equity prices in the past few days reflect upward revisions to expectations for inflation and US interest rates, rather than any concern that global growth is faltering. In the... 5th February 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack World economy entering 2018 on a firm footing Global activity indicators suggest that the world economy ended 2017 on a very strong note. We expect this strength to continue in the near term, helped by a steady rise in employment and supportive... 5th January 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Shifting up another gear? The world economy has continued to experience fairly rapid growth. Manufacturing output and global trade have picked up, and the latest business surveys and measures of consumer confidence have... 6th December 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Full steam ahead in Q4 We estimate that the world economy expanded at a healthy pace of around 3½% annualised in Q3, as the US, euro-zone and UK all grew at a decent pace. Employment has been rising steadily, with jobs... 7th November 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Motoring along There is no sign that the synchronised upturn in the world economy is running out of steam. The two hurricanes which hit the US in the past couple of months should have only a short-lived impact on... 4th October 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack World economy resilient despite geopolitical tensions The recent escalation of tensions between the US and North Korea has caused the Vix “fear gauge” to reach its highest level this year, but it remains a long way below the levels it reached during many... 6th September 2017 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Strong growth continues at start of Q3… Business surveys suggest that, after picking up in the second quarter, the world economy started Q3 on a strong footing. The upturn in Q2 was concentrated in advanced economies and was led by... 3rd August 2017 · 1 min read
