Europe Commercial Property Update Investor sentiment turns sour Despite reasonable levels of capital ready to invest and an expected loosening in credit conditions, the sharp deterioration in investor sentiment reinforces our view that euro-zone investment... 30th April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Industrials not immune from COVID-19 fallout We think that, for the industrial sector, any short-term gain from an increase in online shopping will be outweighed by the plunge in demand and subsequent collapse in global trade. 24th April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Property values in Southern Europe to fall the most The uneven economic impact of the coronavirus disruption suggests that property values in Southern European markets will be hit hardest and may take longer to recover than elsewhere in the euro-zone. 23rd April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Looser measures won’t stop retail rent falls in Stockholm Although retailers in Sweden remain open, early indications suggest that the Stockholm retail sector will still be hit hard in Q2. In fact, we think that the virus outbreak will only accelerate falls... 16th April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Is southern Europe finally embracing e-commerce? While COVID-19 has forced consumers in southern Europe to shop online, we think that e-commerce penetration will remain lower for structural reasons, which is one reason why prime retail rents in... 14th April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Pricing more vulnerable in CEE markets Although property valuations and rental prospects remain supportive, the higher risk premium associated with CEE markets means that property yields are likely to increase more in the near term and to... 8th April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Construction delays won’t be enough to sustain rents While COVID-19 related delays to construction might reduce supply in some markets, we think that the drop in occupier demand will far outweigh any potential benefits to rents. 7th April 2020 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Is co-working a further risk to the office sector? While COVID-19 will hit co-working hard, given the relative size of this subsector, we don’t think it will be large enough to impact rents in the overall office sector. 2nd April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update What do equity price falls imply for European property? The past relationship suggests that the recent 10% to 50% fall in real estate equity prices provide an indication of the direction values will move in the direct market, but not the likely extent of... 1st April 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Property is the victim not the villain this time Property has generally been at the centre of the most severe economic downturns in recent decades. But this time it is different. Although we think the commercial market is likely to experience a... 26th March 2020 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Helsinki offices to outperform Further falls in yields coupled with robust, albeit slowing, rental growth point to Helsinki offices outperforming the rest of the euro-zone and its Nordic peers for total returns. 11th March 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update What does COVID-19 mean for commercial real estate? The recent market meltdown reflects concerns about the economic impact of the COVID-19 virus. This will inevitably hit commercial property, but in our view, the downside is likely to be relatively... 6th March 2020 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Good times won’t last for Milan prime offices The recent strength of Milan office take-up has not prevented rental growth slowing and isn’t likely to be sustained in 2020. Indeed, we expect a slowdown in employment growth to weigh on occupier... 2nd March 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prague offices to still outperform CEE Despite softer occupier activity and an increasing pipeline of supply, we think that demand will be strong enough to prop up office rental growth over the next two years. That said, given that we now... 18th February 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update German office rents to hold up despite boost to supply Softer office occupier demand is expected to weigh on German prime office rents this year. But we still think that rents can grow at a decent pace because, even though office supply is expected to... 14th February 2020 · 3 mins read
