Europe Commercial Property Update Office vacancy in Copenhagen close to its peak The faster-than-expected timetable to ease virus restrictions, limited supply pipeline in central areas and confirmation that home working has not increased significantly from its pre-virus levels... 13th April 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Where is there scope for conversions to residential? Few office or retail markets currently look economically viable for residential conversions. However, expected falls in values, particularly for retail, and acute housing shortages suggest that there... 9th April 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Budapest retail set to outperform CEE after 2021 After declining in 2021, we think that favourable supply conditions and a rebound in consumer spending will support a recovery in Budapest retail rents into next year. And while the sharp increase in... 8th April 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Cross-border capital recovery to prove slow in 2021 Travel restrictions will hold back cross-border capital flows until at least H2. And given that we expect extra-European capital to return particularly slowly, total investment is set to recover... 1st April 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Southern European underperformance to continue Despite a more supportive outlook for property valuations, we think that weaker rental prospects will result in southern European property markets continuing to underperform into 2022. 30th March 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Are data centres a viable alternative? Thanks to changing consumption patterns and structural and cyclical knocks to the traditional property sectors, both occupier and investor demand for data centres set new records last year. But, while... 19th March 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Bond yield rise won’t cause property yields to spike Recent rises in government bond yields do not change our view that office and industrial yields will edge down a bit further in the next year or two. In fact, we don’t expect broad-based upward... 2nd March 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update The long view of property In light of our latest long-term economic and financial market forecasts, we have revisited our views for commercial property performance over the next three decades. We think that average returns... 1st March 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Temporary halt to Amsterdam office rental growth Following the decline in 2020, we think prime office rents in Amsterdam will hold steady this year. But rental growth should pick up thereafter, supported by continued growth in the information and... 17th February 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Calling time on Italian prime retail rental growth We think that prolonged weakness in domestic and foreign spending on prime high streets in Italy will add to pressure on rental affordability, triggering rental falls this year. However, a less... 12th February 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prague prime pricing supportive of industrial yield falls We think that past movements in Czech bond yields mean that they are less appropriate to use in our valuation calculations. Using alternative bond benchmarks, re-calculated metrics support the view... 11th February 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update The future for city property In our Future of Property research, we identified important post-pandemic shifts in most real estate sectors. How these trends interact will be key to the outlook for the urban locations where most... 4th February 2021 · 6 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Sharper falls in Warsaw office rents to come in 2021 Given its significant office supply pipeline, we have revised down our rental forecast for Warsaw offices this year despite a recovery in the labour market. And while we expect rents to pick up in... 3rd February 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Where might industrial yields fall most this year? Differences in rental prospects and risk premia confirm our view that, despite looking overvalued compared to government bond yields, there is still scope for larger falls in industrial yields in the... 1st February 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update No stopping Dublin industrial rental growth A healthy economic backdrop, favourable supply conditions and the potential for a post-Brexit boost mean that we forecast Dublin industrial rents to keep growing at around 2% p.a. over the coming... 28th January 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Can Oslo office yields continue to edge lower? Although much of 2020’s fall in Norwegian government bond yields has been reversed, we think that improving economic activity and supportive valuations will allow prime office yields to reach new... 25th January 2021 · 3 mins read
