Asia Economics Weekly Indonesia heading in the wrong direction Recent measures to boost growth in Indonesia have failed to address the main structural factors that are holding the economy back. Unless the government changes its approach, we see little prospect of... 19th June 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s credit slowdown has not eliminated risks Credit growth has continued to slow in the economies which we previously highlighted at greatest risk of a financial crisis. However, with credit still expanding at a faster pace than nominal GDP... 12th June 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly What would the Philippines look like without Aquino? With just one year to go before presidential elections in the Philippines, attention is turning to who will replace the current president, Benigno Aquino. The current president deserves much credit... 5th June 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asian growth eases in Q1 despite lower oil prices Growth in Emerging Asia eased slightly last quarter, despite the boost from lower oil prices. Weak exports haven’t helped, but it has been the reluctance of consumers to spend their windfall from... 29th May 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Chinese tourists to the rescue? A surge in spending by Chinese tourists across Emerging Asia is helping to compensate for a fall in the region’s goods exports to China. Spending by Chinese tourists should continue to grow at a rapid... 22nd May 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s rate cutting cycle is nearing an end Emerging Asia’s rate cutting cycle appears to be nearing its end, with only a handful of central banks likely to cut a little further. But it won’t be until 2016 that the region’s central banks move... 15th May 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s exports should recover from weak Q1 Emerging Asia’s export performance took a sharp turn for the worse in the first quarter, with a slump in demand from China creating the largest drag. However, a positive turnaround is likely over the... 8th May 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly How fragile is Malaysia? Given that Malaysia is Emerging Asia’s largest net energy exporter it is no surprise that the ringgit has been the region’s worst performing currency over the last nine months. Now that oil prices... 30th April 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly A manufacturing migration? Rapid wage growth, rising land costs and the appreciation of the renminbi have all helped to make China a less attractive place for low-end manufacturers to operate. Recent trends in foreign direct... 24th April 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Singapore looks set for more policy loosening We expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to loosen policy again at its meeting on Tuesday, most likely by re-centring its target band for the exchange rate to allow some depreciation. But... 10th April 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly AIIB – what is all the fuss about? Poor infrastructure is likely to remain a key constraint on economic development across large parts of Emerging Asia over the next decade. For all the headlines, the Asian Infrastructure Investment... 3rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Deflation of Thailand’s credit bubble has further to run Although credit growth in Thailand has cooled over the past few years, the process of deflating the country’s credit bubble is still far from over. Given this, the Bank of Thailand’s decision earlier... 27th March 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Taiwan is unlikely to join Asia's rate-cutting cycle Despite slowing growth, a bout of deflation and a housing market that has recently taken a turn for the worse, Taiwan is unlikely to join the Asian rate-cutting cycle at its upcoming meeting. 23rd March 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Rupiah weakness is unlikely to revive Indonesia’s economy The weakness of the Indonesian rupiah is unlikely to kick-start a recovery in the country’s non-commodity export sector. For one thing, it has not left Indonesian exporters looking any more... 13th March 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly What would a property price collapse mean for Taiwan? Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission caused a stir recently when it warned of the rising risk of a property price crash. Although the economy is unlikely to escape unscathed if property prices... 6th March 2015 · 1 min read
