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Construction weakness due to seasonal adjustment failure

At first glance, the recent monthly construction spending figures look awful. The three-month-on-three-month growth rate of residential construction spending at least climbed back into positive territory in February. But private non-residential construction spending growth has slowed sharply and public construction spending has fallen off a cliff. The more we look at these figures, however, the more we think something has gone badly wrong with the seasonal adjustment.

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