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Manufacturing recession, auto tariff threat

The small rise in the composite PMI for the euro-zone, from 51.0 in January to 51.4 in February, came as a bit of a relief – especially as this was the first increase in six months. However, it leaves the index consistent with quarterly GDP growth of barely 0.2%, similar to that in the second half of last year, so it will not put to bed concerns that the region is at risk of a recession.

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