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Turkey Ind. Prod. (Feb.) & Hungary CPI (Mar.)

The sharper-than-expected increase in Turkish industrial production in February provides some evidence that local firms are benefiting from a weaker lira. Elsewhere, the decline in Hungary’s inflation rate back into negative territory last month has prompted us to tweak our interest rate forecast – we now expect a slightly larger rate cut this month, of 15bp (to 1.05%), and further cuts in the months ahead.

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