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Consumer Price Index (Jun. 12)

June's rise in the official 'core' inflation figure, to 2.0% from 1.8%, mainly reflects transportation base year effects. With inflation expectations well anchored and economic growth likely to remain below the economy's 2% potential rate, we anticipate that inflation will remain subdued for quite some time. Accordingly, we think that the Bank of Canada's tightening bias is misplaced.

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