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High inflation limits CBN’s scope for easing, for now

The recent rise in inflation appears to have stayed the hand of Nigeria’s central bank from delivering more monetary easing at today’s MPC meeting. But, as price pressures drop back towards the end of this year, we think that policymakers will lower the benchmark rate by 150bp to 10.00%.   Global State of Play, 28th January, 0800 GMT and 1600 GMT In the first of our regular briefings of the year, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing will lead a discussion about the economic impact of vaccination programmes, another US fiscal stimulus package and fresh lockdowns in China.

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