US Housing Market Update Conditions tighten in homeowner and rental markets The second quarter Housing Vacancies and Homeownership survey showed market conditions tightening in both the homeowner and rental markets, with vacancy rates at 56-year and 37-year lows respectively... 28th July 2021 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Nationwide House Prices (Jul.) The drop back in the Nationwide house price inflation in July suggests that the tapering of the stamp duty holiday has taken a little heat out of the market. But as the tax break was just one of many... 28th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property A primer on European residential property Less favourable demand fundamentals and less scope for yield compression mean that European residential returns are likely to be lower in the coming years than over the previous decade. An analysis of... 27th July 2021 · 17 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response NCREIF Property Index (Q2 2021) All-property total returns strengthened again in Q2, reflecting improvement in all sectors. Industrial returns set a new quarterly record for the sector, while office and retail returns were again... 27th July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (May) House prices showed no signs of slowing in May, with annual growth setting new records on both the Case-Shiller and FHFA measures. But with housing demand falling back since the start of the year, and... 27th July 2021 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (Jun.) New homes sales dropped for the third month in a row in June, as homebuilders restricted sales in an effort to catch-up with the backlog of homes sold last year. But builders have reported continued... 26th July 2021 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Why we expect a gradual recovery in lending The recent gains in lender sentiment showed the real estate recovery is heading in the right direction. As lenders gain confidence, standards should start to loosen, and industrial and multifamily... 26th July 2021 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack Strong momentum not expected to last The acceleration in all-property capital growth in June reflected a sharp fall in yields and strong rental growth. But, even as a fast economic rebound boosts occupier demand in the coming months, we... 23rd July 2021 · 7 mins read
China Economics Weekly Evergrande is a poster child for property sector risks Evergrande appears to be getting closer to a reckoning over the scale of its liabilities as regulators, banks and local governments tighten the screws. It is just the largest of many developers that... 23rd July 2021 · 5 mins read
UK Commercial Property Supermarkets highly priced but for good reason The supermarket yield spread to “all-retail” has grown to almost the level it reached in 2009. However, we think there are good reasons for this. Admittedly there are risks ahead for the sector that... 22nd July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Existing Home Sales (Jun) Existing home sales edged higher in June, but the bigger picture is that housing market activity is cooling. Booming house prices, rising mortgage rates and tight inventory will weigh on demand this... 22nd July 2021 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prime Brussels offices to fare better than most More remote working is pushing all occupiers to reassess their office space, but we think that rental growth for prime offices in Brussels should hold up better than the wider market. 22nd July 2021 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property When will office vacancy peak in San Francisco? Our forecasts, which cover landlord-held space, point to San Francisco vacancy peaking in 2025 at over 24%. Broker data, which also incorporates sublease vacancy, suggests much of that adjustment has... 21st July 2021 · 3 mins read
Asset Allocation Tempering our optimism We no longer expect equities and corporate bonds to outperform “safe” government bonds by anything like as much as we did a couple of quarters ago, and we continue to forecast that some other “risky”... 21st July 2021 · 25 mins read
UK Housing Post-holiday slump in transactions won’t hit prices It is inevitable that transactions will drop sharply after setting a record high in June. But the stamp duty holiday is just one of several factors behind the housing market boom, so house prices... 21st July 2021 · 2 mins read
US Housing Housing Starts (Jun.) Single-family housing starts rose by 6.3% m/m in June. Despite this, even after the sharp decline in lumber prices in recent weeks there are still signs that supply shortages are holding back... 20th July 2021 · 2 mins read
