Although our forecast for first-quarter GDP growth is now down to -1.9% annualised, we still believe that, on balance, the US economy will escape recession and rebound in the second quarter, as the distortion caused by the unseasonably severe winter weather and the pre-tariff- surge in imports are both reversed.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services