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Retail rental growth pessimism appears misplaced

The consensus is still downbeat on the outlook for retail rents, with growth expected to underperform even the struggling office sector. But with a decent consumer recovery on the horizon we think that pessimism is misplaced. As inflation falls back and employment rebounds that will boost retail sales, helping to drive retail rental growth of just under 2% y/y in 2025 and 2026, the strongest since 2008.   

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