Europe Commercial Property Update Weaker demand to limit Paris office rent growth Falls in Paris Centre West vacancy are expected to support a further pick-up in prime office rents in the second half of the year. But this will be short-lived, with the deteriorating outlook for... 4th October 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Chinese tourism drought will add to luxury retail woes In view of the wider interest, we are also sending this Europe Commercial Property Update to clients of our UK Commercial Property Service. With no end in sight to China’s zero-COVID policy, the... 30th September 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Italian investment to drop back in the coming quarters While the market reaction to the Italian election was muted, we think that the worsening economic outlook and concerns about debt sustainability will result in increased risk aversion toward Italian... 28th September 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Renewed weakness ahead for German retail The rapidly worsening economic backdrop has put the brakes on Germany’s prime retail recovery. After showing strength in the second half of last year, take-up has now slowed in most of the main... 9th September 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Tide to turn quickly for euro-zone industrial While euro-zone prime industrial rents surprised on the upside in Q2, investor sentiment also turned more rapidly than we expected. Tight supply will support rents this year, even as economic activity... 6th September 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Have the prospects for Warsaw industrial changed? The outlook for industrial demand in Poland has improved dramatically because of the pandemic and the rapid growth of ecommerce. This is set to keep prime industrial rental growth in Warsaw higher... 1st September 2022 · 6 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dublin office rebound to run out of steam Rents in the Dublin prime office market rose rapidly in H1 2022, supported by a continued recovery in occupier demand. However, a cooling jobs market and strong supply pipeline mean that a slowdown is... 15th August 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Global trends point to a more difficult decade ahead Commercial property wasn’t initially hit by the worsening in economic conditions at the turn of the year, but there are now growing signs of anxiety. Not only that, but even if the economic gloom is... 12th August 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Support from flexible office demand in CEE to wane Comparatively strong demand from flexible offices has helped the CEE occupier recovery from the pandemic. But a more limited flex pipeline this year means it is not likely to provide much offset to... 9th August 2022 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update German office market at a turning point? German prime office yields jumped in Q2 amid early signs that the weakening economic outlook is weighing heavily on the office market. And while there were strong rental gains in the first half of the... 5th August 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Better transparency provides little respite for yields While encouraging for the property risk premium, better transparency across Europe is unlikely to provide much support for property yields given the deterioration in the economic and interest rate... 2nd August 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Slowdown in European investment to continue After a strong start to the year, European investment weakened in Q2. And we expect only lacklustre activity over the second half of the year as rises in the cost of debt, tightening credit conditions... 29th July 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Weaker consumer outlook to delay Spanish retail rally A rebound in tourism will cushion some of the blow to Spanish prime retail demand caused by falling real incomes this year. But once inflation eventually eases, we expect rent growth to outperform... 25th July 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Tightening credit conditions point to higher yields The Q2 ECB bank lending survey showed a tightening in credit standards for commercial property lending in the first half of the year, with expectations for a further squeeze in H2. With the cost of... 20th July 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Lisbon industrial yields near a turning point Despite the Q1 surge in investment activity, we think a weak rental outlook and stretched valuations will deter a sustained increase in investment, limiting the scope for further falls in prime... 18th July 2022 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Weak euro unlikely to push overseas investment higher We doubt the fall in the euro will lead to a material increase in overseas investment this year. Rather, we think investor demand will be underpinned by the euro-zone’s economic and property... 13th July 2022 · 2 mins read