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What do new trackers tells us about the mortgage rate outlook?

Although most of the biggest lenders have passed on last week’s 1.5% base rate cut to their standard variable mortgage rates many smaller lenders have not. And the early signs are that the interest rates on re-priced tracker products, now on offer to new buyers, have fallen by far less than base rates. So is our forecast of a 3% mortgage rate too optimistic? Perhaps, but on balance we think it is plausible.

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