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House price inflation to converge on earnings growth

House price inflation has strengthened a little since our previous Analyst. But the economy has lost a little momentum and forward-looking demand indicators, such as buyer enquiries, are easing. Against that backdrop we have not altered our non-consensus call that house price inflation is now likely to slow. We have pencilled in house price growth of 2% for 2016, and 2017 and 3% for 2018.  

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