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Banxico can cut interest rates even as the Fed begins to hike

We think the prevailing view that close economic ties with the US will force Mexico to raise interest rates if, as expected, the Fed starts to tighten later this year is wrong. Indeed, with lower oil prices likely to mean that fiscal policy becomes less supportive this year, its possible that Banxico will loosen monetary policy – with an interest rate cut possible as soon as this quarter.

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