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Vietnam set for rapid, but high risk, growth

August data published over the last week show that the upswing in Vietnam remains strong, inflation has stayed on a slower track, while higher capital inflows are easing the strain on the balance of payments. Interest rates should stay close to current levels into 2011 and the currency will probably stabilise near term, although another devaluation is still likely next year. However, the uncertainties surrounding this outlook are especially acute. Stocks should continue to struggle.

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