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Philippine rates to move up in the first half of 2010

Today the Philippine central bank (BSP) left its policy rate unchanged at 4%, as expected, and retained a neutral bias. The economic upswing will almost certainly continue but inflation still looks set to stay low for a while, in part because the peso will probably rise further next year. The Philippines is unlikely to be in the next wave to tighten policy but rates should start to move up from April 2010.

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