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Brent still likely to end the year below $100

We have revised our near-term forecasts for the price of Brent crude higher to reflect the ongoing support from hopes of global policy stimulus and fears over tensions in the Middle East. However, these drivers should fade by the end of this year, to be replaced by renewed concerns about the world economy and the future of the euro. The release of official stocks would also help drag oil prices down again, although any such move does not seem imminent.

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