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Lending, credit (Dec.) & FX reserves (Q4)

While a pick-up in banking lending growth in December suggests a slightly more accommodative policy stance, we think stronger growth in other forms of credit reflects a weak base for comparison due to a cash crunch in December 2013 rather than a loosening of broader credit conditions. Meanwhile, the fall in FX reserves reflects currency fluctuations rather than sales by the People's Bank. 

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