CE Data Blog
This new monthly newsletter highlights the latest updates and additions to our data product.
Last updated 11th April 2025
New Dashboards
Tariff Impact Model
Play POTUS and explore our new tariff impact model. Choose your own tariff scenarios, imposing universal and specific tariffs on the world’s major economies. See how your tariffs could impact the tariff rate, inflation and global GDP as your trade war unfolds.
Corporate Bonds
Explore historical relationships and our forecasts for investment grade (IG) and high-yield (HY) corporate bonds in the US, UK and Eurozone in this new interactive dashboard. Drill deeper into the characteristics of these bond indices and see our forecasts for yields, option-adjusted spreads and total returns out to end-2026.
UK Employment Indicator
Our new CE UK Employment Indicator extracts the signal from a range of measures of actual employment growth and surveyed employment to provide a trustworthy guide to UK employment growth.
Updated Dashboards
- US Scenarios Dashboard - We have updated our US Scenarios Dashboard with our latest probabilistic assessment of how President Trump’s tariff plan will affect the outlook for US GDP growth and inflation.
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Trade War - Cut through the noise of the news cycle with our immersive, interactive guide to the most pressing issue facing the global economic outlook, and learn which of the 30 largest economies are most exposed to higher tariffs, which are most vulnerable to them, and the steps that could be taken to mitigate their impact.
All dashboards with historical data, our forecasts and proprietary indicators are constantly updated with the latest figures. CE Advance subscribers can access all of our proprietary indicators here and our latest forecasts can be accessed from our Key Forecasts Dashboard or from our selection of Country & Regional Dashboards.
New Data
These series are available to clients with access to the CE Connect Excel plug-in.
Total returns forecasts
All our total returns forecasts are now available via CE Connect & API.
To find the asset you are looking for, the indicator codes follow a distinct pattern. The different asset classes are denoted as follows:
- Equities: EQ
- Government Bonds: GB
- Corporate Bond: CB
- Commodities: CM
- REITs: REIT
- TIPS: TIPS
You then need a return period:
- Total returns over a year: TR1Y
- Total returns over 2 years: TR2Y
- Total returns from latest to end of the current year: TRLECY
- Total returns from latest to end of next year: TRLE1Y
- Total returns from latest to end of year after next: TRLE2Y
You then add a currency:
- US Dollars: $
- Euros: €
- Pounds Sterling: £
- Local Currency Units: LC
Combine all these together to create an indicator code (Asset class + Return Period + Currency):
e.g Government Bond return between now and the end of next year in US dollars:
GBTRLE1Y$
Combine this with a geography code at the beginning and you have the CE Connect Series ID
e.g Advanced Economies Government Bonds Total Returns between now and end of next year
ADECO_GBTRLE1Y$
Other NEW Data
| Indicator | Coverage | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia initial jobless claims | Virginia, US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Labour force (native born) | US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Labour force (foreign born, contribution to labour force growth) | US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Labour force (foreign born) | US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Southwest land border encounters | US | U.S. Customs & Border Protection, Capital Economics |
| Federal jobless claims | US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Maryland initial jobless claims | Maryland, US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| District of Columbia initial jobless claims | District of Columbia, US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Labour force growth (native born, % y/y) | US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
| Labour force growth (foreign born, % y/y) | US | U.S. Department of Labor, Capital Economics |
CE Connect Excel Plug-in
The new indicators listed above can be downloaded via CE Connect.