Commodities Weekly The green shoots of recovery taking hold The prices of most commodities prices rose this week, as signs emerged that developed economies may be past the worst of the initial economic hit from the coronavirus. Stronger-than-expected US... 5th June 2020 · 7 mins read
Energy Update OPEC+ to extend duration of deeper output cuts OPEC+ is expected to meet in the next few days. Despite reports of rifts amongst its members, we think that it will agree to extend its current 9.7m bpd production cut for at least another month. 5th June 2020 · 3 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US commercial crude stocks fell last week entirely because strategic crude stocks rose strongly. Nevertheless, falling imports and the ongoing rise in refinery activity suggest that the oversupply in... 3rd June 2020 · 2 mins read
Energy Update Newcastle coal prices to remain grounded Coal prices should receive their usual seasonal uplift later this year. Nevertheless, we think that the average price of Newcastle coal will fall in 2020 and 2021 owing to weak demand and strong... 3rd June 2020 · 3 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Prices to pick up as demand slowly revives The prices of most commodities rose in May on the back of the ongoing recovery in China’s economic activity and a gradual easing of lockdown conditions in the US and Europe. We think that most prices... 2nd June 2020 · 8 mins read
Commodities Weekly Renewed US-China tensions cloud price outlook The close of China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) yesterday brought with it little in the way of additional news, leaving the huge fiscal stimulus announced last Friday – which was unambiguously... 29th May 2020 · 7 mins read
Energy Update Geopolitics take a back seat … for now Quarantine measures associated with COVID-19 have seen geopolitical disputes, such as US-Iran tensions, seemingly fall under the radar of energy traders. That said, the national security law imposed... 28th May 2020 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update The Brazilian real and commodity prices Our forecast that the Brazilian real will recoup some lost ground by end-2020 should put upward pressure on the prices of its commodity exports. However, other factors, such as the health of the... 27th May 2020 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly China NPC brings good news for commodities Most commodities prices rode the wave of a general uplift in investor sentiment this week. That said, prices have eased back slightly today despite encouraging signs from the National People’s... 22nd May 2020 · 7 mins read
Energy Watch The outlook for US shale production Since the outbreak of the coronavirus, oil demand has plummeted, and prices have slumped. In this Energy Watch, we consider what this means for the US shale industry. 21st May 2020 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly China to the rescue? This week has provided further tentative signs of a revival in commodities demand. China’s industrial production bounced back in April and weekly data in the US suggest that the pick-up in gasoline... 15th May 2020 · 7 mins read
Commodities Update The corn market to move into a surplus next season While we generally agree with the USDA’s latest projections for 2019/20, we suspect that they are being too optimistic on agricultural supply in 2020/21. Nevertheless, we expect a pick-up in corn... 13th May 2020 · 3 mins read
Energy Update Global oil supply to fall to a five-year low Low oil prices, OPEC+ production cuts and delays to investment should reduce global oil supply by over 6% this year. This is one reason why we expect prices to end the year higher. 11th May 2020 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly Investors may have got ahead of themselves Industrial commodities prices posted strong gains this week on the back of signs of a relaxation of quarantine measures in Europe and the US, which fuelled hopes that demand would recover soon... 7th May 2020 · 7 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Prices to tread water for now The prices of most commodities struggled in April against a backdrop of moribund global demand. That said, the performance of energy commodities was mixed: while Brent crude and Henry Hub gas rose in... 5th May 2020 · 8 mins read
Commodities Weekly Still a bumpy road ahead Despite a raft of terrible economic data, industrial commodity prices ended the week broadly flat, except for oil prices which rose sharply. Attention is turning to the potential relaxation of... 1st May 2020 · 8 mins read
