Skip to main content

The economy does not have a “stall speed”

The economy does not have a “stall speed” of between 1.5% and 2.0% that means whenever growth falls below this rate a recession is imminent. This is especially the case when the economy current has so much spare capacity. As long as any euro-zone break-up is fairly orderly and Congress postpones most of the fiscal tightening due next year, then another recession remains unlikely.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access